Economic Insights
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Market Snapshot
Inflation
Rising tariffs and surging rents are creating inflationary pressures, mirroring trends from the 1970s. While grocery prices have stabilized, the overall cost of living continues to climb.
Consumer Behavior
Consumers are increasingly dependent on credit, with emergency spending, auto repairs, and food as top priorities. Declining checking account balances and rising delinquencies indicate growing financial stress..
Market Sentiment
Consumer confidence has been declining over the past decade, despite wage growth and a strong labor market. Rising credit delinquencies and cautious spending signal economic uncertainty ahead.
In Q4 FY2023, the Federal Reserve announced plans to cut interest rates in 2024, leading to strong equity markets in Q1 FY2024 due to an overreaction to this news...
In Q4 FY2023, the Federal Reserve announced plans to cut interest rates in 2024, leading to strong equity markets in Q1 FY2024 due to an overreaction to this news. However, inflation rates have not decreased as expected, prompting the Federal Reserve to pause its plans.